In July 2025 I published a prediction for the United States solar return that can be summarized in a single sentence:
Disclosure through social media will drive conflict over immigration enforcement.
At the time, that forecast was more specific than simply predicting that immigration would remain controversial. The claim was that videos, photographs, livestreams, and other forms of public disclosure would become the mechanism through which the conflict unfolded.
I also made a second prediction. Based on a higher-level time-lord technique known as the Ascendant Distributor, I argued that a major event near 10 January 2026 would ultimately lead to the end of aggressive ICE enforcement by 1 February 2026.
This paper evaluates those forecasts against a chronology of eighty immigration-related events occurring between July 2025 and June 2026.
The results were mixed. Some timing techniques performed poorly. Others performed surprisingly well. The strongest match came from the interaction of higher-level time lords with the solar return itself. The chronology shows that the largest anti-ICE protests of the year followed the fatal shooting of Renée Nicole Good on 7 January 2026, culminating in leadership changes, operational revisions, and a strategic withdrawal from Operation Metro Surge immediately after the predicted 1 February 2026 distributor changeover.
The study also examines a secondary prediction involving AI training data, copyright disputes, and disclosure of digital information. Although that theme was not forecast with the same specificity as immigration enforcement, the resulting chronology reveals striking parallels.
The full report includes a detailed scorecard, discussion of falsifiability, evaluation of multiple timing techniques, and an eighty-event chronology used to test the forecasts.
Download the complete PDF below.
